Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1.509990 1.738820 1.990507 2.287870 2.629647 3.010244 3.466364
2025-05-18 1.134326 1.419521 1.759772 2.195661 2.739491 3.396040 4.249679
2025-05-25 0.866817 1.165247 1.547077 2.071525 2.773711 3.682432 4.949815
2025-06-01 0.714460 1.023180 1.443357 2.057150 2.931889 4.135605 5.921886
2025-06-08 0.590782 0.895420 1.333636 2.010121 3.029653 4.511935 6.837397
2025-06-15 0.535543 0.854498 1.336904 2.119828 3.361113 5.258001 8.387798
2025-06-22 0.476100 0.796271 1.303272 2.164729 3.595429 5.883856 9.838215
2025-06-29 0.415770 0.726316 1.239405 2.148991 3.725896 6.356888 11.101710
2025-07-06 0.351397 0.639305 1.134198 2.046948 3.693989 6.552274 11.916678
2025-07-13 0.326660 0.617402 1.136089 2.128951 3.989198 7.338953 13.865626
2025-07-20 0.307926 0.603348 1.149216 2.231465 4.332532 8.250285 16.158642
2025-07-27 0.283711 0.575261 1.132240 2.273996 4.566676 8.985781 18.211224
2025-08-03 0.258290 0.542322 1.103705 2.294339 4.768890 9.702483 20.361384
2025-08-10 0.227071 0.493188 1.036785 2.228393 4.789010 10.064211 21.846613
2025-08-17 0.195956 0.439709 0.953670 2.116704 4.697523 10.184680 22.839414
2025-08-24 0.178058 0.412322 0.921637 2.110095 4.830433 10.793035 24.976323
2025-08-31 0.159428 0.380586 0.875851 2.066337 4.874278 11.212681 26.747626
2025-09-07 0.154367 0.379508 0.898337 2.181791 5.298109 12.535680 30.795165
2025-09-14 0.145041 0.366898 0.892541 2.229555 5.568494 13.539949 34.223034
2025-09-21 0.132766 0.345279 0.862523 2.214217 5.683225 14.189923 36.871164
2025-09-28 0.116851 0.312182 0.800218 2.109547 5.560210 14.245044 38.022751
2025-10-05 0.112527 0.308609 0.811156 2.194333 5.934959 15.590965 42.717668
2025-10-12 0.109415 0.307834 0.829141 2.300160 6.379700 17.173561 48.268049